학술논문 : 국가 Power-Image를 통해 본 남북한 군사적 갈등 사례 연구
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영문초록
The current study is aimed at preparing the future North Korea policy and the adequate plan based on the political lessons we learned from numerous South-North Korea military conflicts and negotiations. Currently the North is struggling domestically to maintain its hereditary regime, while at the same time suffering from the heavy pressure of international sanctions, primarily from those of the United States. It is more than likely that the North Korea will try another military provocation to the South in an attempt to break through its current political deadlock. The current study analyzed these four cases: The Blue House Raid and the USS Pueblo Incident in 1968, the Axe Murder Incident in Panmunjon on August 18th, 1976, the Rangoon bombing in October, 1983, the Torpedo Attack on the ROK Ship Cheonan in 2010. Analyzed by the DIME+L method, which means approaching the issue by applying the Richard Cottam`s Power-Image Theory in addition to Leadership. The North Korea has been, by participating in non-aggressive negotiations and attempting military provocations at the same time, utilizing both tough and soft strategies for the survival of its regime and a breakthrough for its domestic and foreign deadlock. In the process the South has failed to respond proactive against the North`s military provocations and maintained nothing more than its feeble reactions against them. As a result, the North`s already tough national image has toughened even more, and the South has lost most of its remaining national prestige. The practical strategies and political proposals to regain the South`s distorted national image and effectively counter the North`s future military provocations are needed more than ever. First, it is necessary to strengthen the South`s power-image by preparing a proactive strategy against a possible military provocation by the North Korea and also giving proactive responses in case of the North`s provocation. Second, mid-term and long-term negotiation strategy towards the North should be developed and pushed forward coherently. Third, a close international collaboration system with the international community needs to be pursued. Fourth, as strategy against the DPRK utilizing China as a leverage needs to be developed.
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