Economic Recovery from Currency Crises in Developing Countries
분야
사회과학 > 정치/외교학
저자
( Seung Nyeon Kim )
발행기관
한국EU학회
간행물정보
Asia-Pacific Journal of EU Studies 2008년, 제6권 제1호, 15~40쪽(총26쪽)
파일형식
32300353.pdf [무료 PDF 뷰어 다운로드]
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    영문초록
    This paper investigates output recovery from 134 episodes of currency crisis in 78 developing countries between 1975 and 1996. I examine which variables help to explain output recovery after such crises. The measure of output recovery is the real GDP growth rate as a deviation from its trend in the year following a currency crisis. A fixed effects panel regression model is estimated. The regression results indicate that investment, inflation, and short-term foreign debt before the crisis have negative effects on output recovery. Among the post-crisis variables, real money growth, real exchange depreciation, and exports contribute to fast recovery, but banking crisis and political instability have negative impacts on output recovery.
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