연구논문 : 기후변화에 따른 수도권 산림의 순일차생산량과 토양탄소저장량의 시공간적 변화 추정
분야
공학 > 환경공학
저자
권선순 ( Sun Soon Kwon ) , 최선희 ( Sun Hee Choi ) , 이상돈 ( Sang Don Lee )
발행기관
한국환경영향평가학회
간행물정보
환경영향평가 2012년, 제21권 제5호, 757~765쪽(총9쪽)
파일형식
23301086.pdf [무료 PDF 뷰어 다운로드]
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    영문초록
    The purpose of this study was to estimate the spatial-temporal NPP(Net Primary Productivity) and SCS(Soil Carbon Storage) of forest ecosystem under climate change in the capital area of South Korea using Mapss-Century1 (MC1), one of Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs). The characteristics of the NPP and SCS changes were simulated based on a biogeochemical module in this model. As results of the simulation, the NPP varies from 2.02 to 7.43 tC ha-1 yr-1 and the SCS varies from 34.55 to 84.81 tC ha-1 during 1971~2000 respectively. Spatial mean NPP showed a little decreasing tendency in near future (2021~2050) and then increased in far future (2071~2100) under the condition of increasing air temperature and precipitation which were simulated by the A1B climate change scenario of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). But it was estimated that the temporal change of spatial mean NPP indicates 4.62% increasing tendency in which elevation is over 150m in this area. However, spatial mean SCS was decreased in the two future periods under same climate condition.
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